Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast points to an 18°C high at Incheon International Airport station—Seoul's market resolution point—for April 12, anchoring trader sentiment with 22% implied probability on that outcome amid tight clustering around 17–20°C. This reflects a warming trend after early April's cold snap, where highs lingered at 12–14°C under northerly outflows, now shifting to mild southerly winds fostering daytime heating. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show notable spread in peak intensities, driven by uncertainties in cloud cover persistence and frontal timing, differentiating closely matched outcomes. Historical April averages hover near 17°C, with new KMA updates expected within hours potentially refining probabilities as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月12日首爾最高溫度？
4月12日首爾最高溫度？
18°C 23%
17°C 21%
19°C 18%
16°C 11.6%
$135,266 交易量
$135,266 交易量
2026-04-12
14°C或以下
6%
15°C
4%
16°C
12%
17°C
21%
18°C
23%
19°C
18%
20°C
11%
21°C
6%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C或以上
5%
18°C 23%
17°C 21%
19°C 18%
16°C 11.6%
$135,266 交易量
$135,266 交易量
2026-04-12
14°C或以下
$22,841 交易量
6%
15°C
$17,733 交易量
4%
16°C
$11,299 交易量
12%
17°C
$7,585 交易量
21%
18°C
$6,412 交易量
23%
19°C
$8,705 交易量
18%
20°C
$7,227 交易量
11%
21°C
$11,952 交易量
6%
22°C
$14,729 交易量
4%
23°C
$10,759 交易量
2%
24°C或以上
$16,394 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast points to an 18°C high at Incheon International Airport station—Seoul's market resolution point—for April 12, anchoring trader sentiment with 22% implied probability on that outcome amid tight clustering around 17–20°C. This reflects a warming trend after early April's cold snap, where highs lingered at 12–14°C under northerly outflows, now shifting to mild southerly winds fostering daytime heating. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show notable spread in peak intensities, driven by uncertainties in cloud cover persistence and frontal timing, differentiating closely matched outcomes. Historical April averages hover near 17°C, with new KMA updates expected within hours potentially refining probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$135,266結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast points to an 18°C high at Incheon International Airport station—Seoul's market resolution point—for April 12, anchoring trader sentiment with 22% implied probability on that outcome amid tight clustering around 17–20°C. This reflects a warming trend after early April's cold snap, where highs lingered at 12–14°C under northerly outflows, now shifting to mild southerly winds fostering daytime heating. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show notable spread in peak intensities, driven by uncertainties in cloud cover persistence and frontal timing, differentiating closely matched outcomes. Historical April averages hover near 17°C, with new KMA updates expected within hours potentially refining probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$135,266結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETKorea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast points to an 18°C high at Incheon International Airport station—Seoul's market resolution point—for April 12, anchoring trader sentiment with 22% implied probability on that outcome amid tight clustering around 17–20°C. This reflects a warming trend after early April's cold snap, where highs lingered at 12–14°C under northerly outflows, now shifting to mild southerly winds fostering daytime heating. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show notable spread in peak intensities, driven by uncertainties in cloud cover persistence and frontal timing, differentiating closely matched outcomes. Historical April averages hover near 17°C, with new KMA updates expected within hours potentially refining probabilities as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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