Trader consensus strongly backs 22°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature today at a 96.2% implied probability, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting a daytime maximum of 22°C under partly cloudy skies. Current observations show afternoon temperatures hovering around 20-21°C, consistent with a slight drop below mid-April seasonal averages of 23°C amid light winds and isolated shower risks in central Israel earlier. This positioning reflects robust model agreement on limited solar heating from partial cloud cover. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing boosting insolation to reach 23°C, or denser clouds and precipitation capping it at 21°C; real-time data from official stations will finalize resolution per NOAA measurements by day's end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 11?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 11?
22°C 99.3%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
21°C <1%
$134,466 交易量
$134,466 交易量
21°C
<1%
22°C
99%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.3%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
21°C <1%
$134,466 交易量
$134,466 交易量
21°C
<1%
22°C
99%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly backs 22°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature today at a 96.2% implied probability, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models projecting a daytime maximum of 22°C under partly cloudy skies. Current observations show afternoon temperatures hovering around 20-21°C, consistent with a slight drop below mid-April seasonal averages of 23°C amid light winds and isolated shower risks in central Israel earlier. This positioning reflects robust model agreement on limited solar heating from partial cloud cover. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing boosting insolation to reach 23°C, or denser clouds and precipitation capping it at 21°C; real-time data from official stations will finalize resolution per NOAA measurements by day's end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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