Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 23°C in Cape Town on April 11 (92% implied probability), driven by the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) guidance forecasting partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and cool-to-warm air masses under southerly winds. Recent model runs, including AccuWeather at 23–24°C with low precipitation odds (10%) and GFS implying similar peaks, reinforce this positioning amid typical autumn sea-breeze moderation and morning cloud cover observed in the past 24 hours. SAWS extended outlooks issued yesterday highlight shower risks suppressing highs from climatological April averages around 24°C. Realistic challenges include early clearing skies pushing toward 24–25°C (17–16.5% implied), or persistent showers capping below 23°C; final observations from Cape Town stations will resolve by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦4月11日的最高溫度?
開普敦4月11日的最高溫度?
23°C 98.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$4,581 交易量
$4,581 交易量
23°C
98%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
23°C 98.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$4,581 交易量
$4,581 交易量
23°C
98%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 23°C in Cape Town on April 11 (92% implied probability), driven by the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) guidance forecasting partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and cool-to-warm air masses under southerly winds. Recent model runs, including AccuWeather at 23–24°C with low precipitation odds (10%) and GFS implying similar peaks, reinforce this positioning amid typical autumn sea-breeze moderation and morning cloud cover observed in the past 24 hours. SAWS extended outlooks issued yesterday highlight shower risks suppressing highs from climatological April averages around 24°C. Realistic challenges include early clearing skies pushing toward 24–25°C (17–16.5% implied), or persistent showers capping below 23°C; final observations from Cape Town stations will resolve by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions