Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 11, reflecting near-unanimous alignment with observational data from the Xujiahui station and China Meteorological Administration forecasts. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and post-frontal cooling from a recent low-pressure system capped daytime peaks at 18°C mid-afternoon, with current readings around 14°C amid overcast conditions and southerly winds carrying moisture. This matches April climatological norms, where average highs are 18°C amid variable spring weather. Realistic challenges—a sudden clearing allowing solar heating before sunset—are unlikely given model consensus on continued instability and the late hour, underscoring the market's skin-in-the-game certainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 11?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 11?
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$293,841 交易量
$293,841 交易量
2026-04-11
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$293,841 交易量
$293,841 交易量
2026-04-11
18°C
$66,646 交易量
100%
19°C
$33,916 交易量
<1%
20°C
$22,929 交易量
<1%
21°C
$20,113 交易量
<1%
22°C or higher
$32,051 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 11, reflecting near-unanimous alignment with observational data from the Xujiahui station and China Meteorological Administration forecasts. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and post-frontal cooling from a recent low-pressure system capped daytime peaks at 18°C mid-afternoon, with current readings around 14°C amid overcast conditions and southerly winds carrying moisture. This matches April climatological norms, where average highs are 18°C amid variable spring weather. Realistic challenges—a sudden clearing allowing solar heating before sunset—are unlikely given model consensus on continued instability and the late hour, underscoring the market's skin-in-the-game certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$293,841結束日期
2026-04-11市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 11, reflecting near-unanimous alignment with observational data from the Xujiahui station and China Meteorological Administration forecasts. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and post-frontal cooling from a recent low-pressure system capped daytime peaks at 18°C mid-afternoon, with current readings around 14°C amid overcast conditions and southerly winds carrying moisture. This matches April climatological norms, where average highs are 18°C amid variable spring weather. Realistic challenges—a sudden clearing allowing solar heating before sunset—are unlikely given model consensus on continued instability and the late hour, underscoring the market's skin-in-the-game certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$293,841結束日期
2026-04-11市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 11, reflecting near-unanimous alignment with observational data from the Xujiahui station and China Meteorological Administration forecasts. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and post-frontal cooling from a recent low-pressure system capped daytime peaks at 18°C mid-afternoon, with current readings around 14°C amid overcast conditions and southerly winds carrying moisture. This matches April climatological norms, where average highs are 18°C amid variable spring weather. Realistic challenges—a sudden clearing allowing solar heating before sunset—are unlikely given model consensus on continued instability and the late hour, underscoring the market's skin-in-the-game certainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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