Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models project Shanghai's April 13 high temperature in the 17-21°C range, driving the closely matched trader consensus with 20°C or higher at 30.5%, 18°C at 21%, and 17°C at 20.2%. Persistent overcast skies and light rain through April 10-11, linked to a passing frontal system, have capped recent highs near 18-20°C, while model spread stems from uncertainty in cloud clearing and southerly flow strength, which could boost daytime insolation for warmer outcomes or trap cooler air masses. Typical April climatology favors 19°C averages, but short-range forecast divergence highlights key variables like boundary layer mixing. Traders await 12z model updates and CMA bulletins for resolution clarity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 13?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 13?
20°C or higher 31%
18°C 21%
17°C 19.4%
19°C 18%
$37,626 交易量
$37,626 交易量
2026-04-13
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
19%
18°C
21%
19°C
18%
20°C or higher
31%
20°C or higher 31%
18°C 21%
17°C 19.4%
19°C 18%
$37,626 交易量
$37,626 交易量
2026-04-13
10°C or below
$2,454 交易量
<1%
11°C
$2,367 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,920 交易量
<1%
13°C
$4,243 交易量
<1%
14°C
$3,314 交易量
1%
15°C
$5,068 交易量
2%
16°C
$5,134 交易量
12%
17°C
$4,736 交易量
19%
18°C
$2,550 交易量
21%
19°C
$1,747 交易量
18%
20°C or higher
$4,233 交易量
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models project Shanghai's April 13 high temperature in the 17-21°C range, driving the closely matched trader consensus with 20°C or higher at 30.5%, 18°C at 21%, and 17°C at 20.2%. Persistent overcast skies and light rain through April 10-11, linked to a passing frontal system, have capped recent highs near 18-20°C, while model spread stems from uncertainty in cloud clearing and southerly flow strength, which could boost daytime insolation for warmer outcomes or trap cooler air masses. Typical April climatology favors 19°C averages, but short-range forecast divergence highlights key variables like boundary layer mixing. Traders await 12z model updates and CMA bulletins for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
交易量
$37,626結束日期
2026-04-13市場開放時間
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models project Shanghai's April 13 high temperature in the 17-21°C range, driving the closely matched trader consensus with 20°C or higher at 30.5%, 18°C at 21%, and 17°C at 20.2%. Persistent overcast skies and light rain through April 10-11, linked to a passing frontal system, have capped recent highs near 18-20°C, while model spread stems from uncertainty in cloud clearing and southerly flow strength, which could boost daytime insolation for warmer outcomes or trap cooler air masses. Typical April climatology favors 19°C averages, but short-range forecast divergence highlights key variables like boundary layer mixing. Traders await 12z model updates and CMA bulletins for resolution clarity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$37,626結束日期
2026-04-13市場開放時間
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration models project Shanghai's April 13 high temperature in the 17-21°C range, driving the closely matched trader consensus with 20°C or higher at 30.5%, 18°C at 21%, and 17°C at 20.2%. Persistent overcast skies and light rain through April 10-11, linked to a passing frontal system, have capped recent highs near 18-20°C, while model spread stems from uncertainty in cloud clearing and southerly flow strength, which could boost daytime insolation for warmer outcomes or trap cooler air masses. Typical April climatology favors 19°C averages, but short-range forecast divergence highlights key variables like boundary layer mixing. Traders await 12z model updates and CMA bulletins for resolution clarity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions