Official hourly observations from Chengdu's primary weather station (54511, China Meteorological Administration) and Shuangliu Airport (ZUUU) confirm a peak temperature of 26°C on April 11, reached around 14:00–17:00 local time under light northeast winds and partial cloud cover, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for this outcome. Readings hit 25.6°C at 17:00 before dropping to 19.4°C by 20:00, aligning with diurnal cooling patterns and forecast model consensus from local agencies projecting no further warming as sunset limits solar insolation. This fits April climatology, where highs average 22–25°C amid transitional spring conditions. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat spike or data revision from additional stations, though increasing cloudiness and evening trends make it highly improbable; final daily verification expected shortly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 11?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 11?
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$185,072 交易量
$185,072 交易量
26°C
100%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$185,072 交易量
$185,072 交易量
26°C
100%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official hourly observations from Chengdu's primary weather station (54511, China Meteorological Administration) and Shuangliu Airport (ZUUU) confirm a peak temperature of 26°C on April 11, reached around 14:00–17:00 local time under light northeast winds and partial cloud cover, driving the market's 99.9% implied probability for this outcome. Readings hit 25.6°C at 17:00 before dropping to 19.4°C by 20:00, aligning with diurnal cooling patterns and forecast model consensus from local agencies projecting no further warming as sunset limits solar insolation. This fits April climatology, where highs average 22–25°C amid transitional spring conditions. A realistic challenge would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat spike or data revision from additional stations, though increasing cloudiness and evening trends make it highly improbable; final daily verification expected shortly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions