Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 22–24°C for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 13, mirroring the latest 14-day forecast models from sources like CustomWeather, which project a 23–24°C peak amid persistent overcast skies and passing showers. Recent Hong Kong Observatory bulletins confirm this moderation, forecasting 24–25°C highs for April 11–12 with rain and cloud cover, driven by spring frontal systems trapping moisture in the Sichuan Basin—a common pattern limiting insolation and capping temperatures below 25°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud breaks boosting 24°C via increased solar heating, versus thicker overcast or prolonged showers favoring 22°C; historical mid-April averages hover at 23°C. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours could refine model consensus as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 13?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 13?
22°C 24%
23°C 23%
24°C 16%
21°C 15%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
15%
22°C
24%
23°C
27%
24°C
16%
25°C
7%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
3%
22°C 24%
23°C 23%
24°C 16%
21°C 15%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
15%
22°C
24%
23°C
27%
24°C
16%
25°C
7%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 22–24°C for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 13, mirroring the latest 14-day forecast models from sources like CustomWeather, which project a 23–24°C peak amid persistent overcast skies and passing showers. Recent Hong Kong Observatory bulletins confirm this moderation, forecasting 24–25°C highs for April 11–12 with rain and cloud cover, driven by spring frontal systems trapping moisture in the Sichuan Basin—a common pattern limiting insolation and capping temperatures below 25°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud breaks boosting 24°C via increased solar heating, versus thicker overcast or prolonged showers favoring 22°C; historical mid-April averages hover at 23°C. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours could refine model consensus as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions