Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Lagos's highest temperature today, with 33°C leading at 37% implied probability amid competing odds for 36°C (33%), 35°C (26%), and 34°C (24%), driven by current morning readings around 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80%. Global models like GFS and ECMWF project daytime peaks of 32–35°C, moderated by southerly sea breezes from the Atlantic and potential afternoon cloud buildup, while urban heat island effects in densely populated areas could push localized highs toward 36°C as seen in recent April days averaging 32–33°C. NiMet observations and airport data will determine the official peak by evening, with low odds for extremes underscoring climatological norms in Lagos's tropical maritime climate.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月11日拉各斯的最高溫度?
4月11日拉各斯的最高溫度?
34°C 40%
35°C 39%
36°C 32.7%
37°C或以上 2.1%
$8,405 交易量
$8,405 交易量
32°C
<1%
33°C
37%
34°C
24%
35°C
26%
36°C
33%
37°C或以上
2%
34°C 40%
35°C 39%
36°C 32.7%
37°C或以上 2.1%
$8,405 交易量
$8,405 交易量
32°C
<1%
33°C
37%
34°C
24%
35°C
26%
36°C
33%
37°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Lagos's highest temperature today, with 33°C leading at 37% implied probability amid competing odds for 36°C (33%), 35°C (26%), and 34°C (24%), driven by current morning readings around 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and high humidity near 80%. Global models like GFS and ECMWF project daytime peaks of 32–35°C, moderated by southerly sea breezes from the Atlantic and potential afternoon cloud buildup, while urban heat island effects in densely populated areas could push localized highs toward 36°C as seen in recent April days averaging 32–33°C. NiMet observations and airport data will determine the official peak by evening, with low odds for extremes underscoring climatological norms in Lagos's tropical maritime climate.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions