Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Beijing's April 13 high temperature, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 19–21°C amid variable cloud cover and southerly winds. Leading odds for 19°C and 20°C stem from recent cloudy conditions capping early-April highs near 19°C, as seen in official China Meteorological Administration reports, while thinner clouds or stronger warm air advection could push toward 21°C. Climatological mid-April averages hover at 20°C, but model spread highlights sensitivity to afternoon heating and urban effects at the official measurement station. New ensemble runs expected April 12 may sharpen the outlook before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on April 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 13?
19°C 27%
20°C 26%
18°C 22%
21°C 12%
$10,497 交易量
$10,497 交易量
2026-04-13
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
22%
19°C
27%
20°C
26%
21°C
12%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
3%
19°C 27%
20°C 26%
18°C 22%
21°C 12%
$10,497 交易量
$10,497 交易量
2026-04-13
13°C or below
$2,294 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,519 交易量
1%
15°C
$1,705 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,898 交易量
3%
17°C
$399 交易量
4%
18°C
$402 交易量
22%
19°C
$202 交易量
27%
20°C
$319 交易量
26%
21°C
$204 交易量
12%
22°C
$511 交易量
5%
23°C or higher
$1,045 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Beijing's April 13 high temperature, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 19–21°C amid variable cloud cover and southerly winds. Leading odds for 19°C and 20°C stem from recent cloudy conditions capping early-April highs near 19°C, as seen in official China Meteorological Administration reports, while thinner clouds or stronger warm air advection could push toward 21°C. Climatological mid-April averages hover at 20°C, but model spread highlights sensitivity to afternoon heating and urban effects at the official measurement station. New ensemble runs expected April 12 may sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
交易量
$10,497結束日期
2026-04-13市場開放時間
Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Beijing's April 13 high temperature, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 19–21°C amid variable cloud cover and southerly winds. Leading odds for 19°C and 20°C stem from recent cloudy conditions capping early-April highs near 19°C, as seen in official China Meteorological Administration reports, while thinner clouds or stronger warm air advection could push toward 21°C. Climatological mid-April averages hover at 20°C, but model spread highlights sensitivity to afternoon heating and urban effects at the official measurement station. New ensemble runs expected April 12 may sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$10,497結束日期
2026-04-13市場開放時間
Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Beijing's April 13 high temperature, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles clustering around 19–21°C amid variable cloud cover and southerly winds. Leading odds for 19°C and 20°C stem from recent cloudy conditions capping early-April highs near 19°C, as seen in official China Meteorological Administration reports, while thinner clouds or stronger warm air advection could push toward 21°C. Climatological mid-April averages hover at 20°C, but model spread highlights sensitivity to afternoon heating and urban effects at the official measurement station. New ensemble runs expected April 12 may sharpen the outlook before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions