The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC station) recorded a maximum temperature of 58°F on April 10, 2026—well within the 58-59°F range—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability as the market nears resolution. This outcome aligns with observed cool, overcast conditions under a lingering upper-level trough, suppressing daytime heating despite mild southerly flow; the high occurred around midday, 2°F below the 1991-2020 April 10 normal of 60°F. Forecast models from NOAA had anticipated highs near 60°F amid light winds and scattered clouds, with no significant deviations reported. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by NWS quality control if sensor anomalies emerge, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect <1% of daily records. Final NCEI certification expected within days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on April 10?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 10?
58-59°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$196,042 交易量
$196,042 交易量
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
Yes
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
58-59°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$196,042 交易量
$196,042 交易量
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
Yes
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC station) recorded a maximum temperature of 58°F on April 10, 2026—well within the 58-59°F range—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability as the market nears resolution. This outcome aligns with observed cool, overcast conditions under a lingering upper-level trough, suppressing daytime heating despite mild southerly flow; the high occurred around midday, 2°F below the 1991-2020 April 10 normal of 60°F. Forecast models from NOAA had anticipated highs near 60°F amid light winds and scattered clouds, with no significant deviations reported. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by NWS quality control if sensor anomalies emerge, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect <1% of daily records. Final NCEI certification expected within days.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions