Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C (99.7% implied probability) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 11, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a daytime high of 28–30°C under mostly cloudy skies with light fog, corroborated by real-time observations at Bao'an International Airport and other stations showing peaks near 27–28°C amid 80–90% humidity curbing further warming. High cloud cover limits solar insolation, aligning with historical April patterns where averages hover around 26–27°C. Realistic challenges include afternoon clearing boosting shortwave radiation for a 29°C spike, or isolated showers suppressing the max below 28°C; hourly station data will finalize resolution via Wunderground aggregates by midnight UTC.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 11?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 11?
28°C 99.6%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$156,662 交易量
$156,662 交易量
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.6%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$156,662 交易量
$156,662 交易量
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C (99.7% implied probability) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 11, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting a daytime high of 28–30°C under mostly cloudy skies with light fog, corroborated by real-time observations at Bao'an International Airport and other stations showing peaks near 27–28°C amid 80–90% humidity curbing further warming. High cloud cover limits solar insolation, aligning with historical April patterns where averages hover around 26–27°C. Realistic challenges include afternoon clearing boosting shortwave radiation for a 29°C spike, or isolated showers suppressing the max below 28°C; hourly station data will finalize resolution via Wunderground aggregates by midnight UTC.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions