Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 12 at 28°C under cloudy skies with southerly winds at 16-24 km/h, aligning with AccuWeather's monthly outlook of 28-30°C highs for early April amid a subtropical warming trend. Trader consensus reflects this tight race, pricing 29°C (36.5%) marginally ahead of 28°C (32.5%) and 30°C (23%), capturing model ensemble spreads where partial cloud breaks or urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta could add 1°C via increased solar insolation. Historical April averages hover at 26°C, but recent days near 28°C signal above-normal warmth; key variables include morning overcast persistence and sea breeze strength, with hourly station data resolving the market by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 12?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 12?
29°C 33%
28°C 33%
30°C 20%
27°C 6.4%
$24,774 交易量
$24,774 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
33%
29°C
33%
30°C
20%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 33%
28°C 33%
30°C 20%
27°C 6.4%
$24,774 交易量
$24,774 交易量
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
33%
29°C
33%
30°C
20%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 12 at 28°C under cloudy skies with southerly winds at 16-24 km/h, aligning with AccuWeather's monthly outlook of 28-30°C highs for early April amid a subtropical warming trend. Trader consensus reflects this tight race, pricing 29°C (36.5%) marginally ahead of 28°C (32.5%) and 30°C (23%), capturing model ensemble spreads where partial cloud breaks or urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta could add 1°C via increased solar insolation. Historical April averages hover at 26°C, but recent days near 28°C signal above-normal warmth; key variables include morning overcast persistence and sea breeze strength, with hourly station data resolving the market by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions