Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C (99.9% implied probability) for Taipei's highest temperature on April 11 at Songshan Airport station, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations showing midday readings near 30°C under mostly clear skies and hot apparent temperatures exceeding 33°C amid 77% relative humidity. Persistent southwesterly winds have fueled above-normal warmth, consistent with recent stable weather patterns reported since April 9, pushing actual air temperatures to peak at 33°C per station data. CWA forecasts of 28–31°C daytime highs reflect model consensus, but urban heat effects and solar insolation have aligned with this outcome. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon surge from unobstructed sunshine, though low solar angle and evening cooldown reduce odds; final CWA daily observations expected soon will confirm resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on April 11?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 11?
33°C 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C or higher <1%
$151,016 交易量
$151,016 交易量
2026-04-11
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C or higher <1%
$151,016 交易量
$151,016 交易量
2026-04-11
33°C
$29,877 交易量
100%
34°C
$14,373 交易量
<1%
35°C
$14,511 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$14,817 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C (99.9% implied probability) for Taipei's highest temperature on April 11 at Songshan Airport station, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations showing midday readings near 30°C under mostly clear skies and hot apparent temperatures exceeding 33°C amid 77% relative humidity. Persistent southwesterly winds have fueled above-normal warmth, consistent with recent stable weather patterns reported since April 9, pushing actual air temperatures to peak at 33°C per station data. CWA forecasts of 28–31°C daytime highs reflect model consensus, but urban heat effects and solar insolation have aligned with this outcome. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon surge from unobstructed sunshine, though low solar angle and evening cooldown reduce odds; final CWA daily observations expected soon will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 7, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
交易量
$151,016結束日期
2026-04-11市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 1:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C (99.9% implied probability) for Taipei's highest temperature on April 11 at Songshan Airport station, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations showing midday readings near 30°C under mostly clear skies and hot apparent temperatures exceeding 33°C amid 77% relative humidity. Persistent southwesterly winds have fueled above-normal warmth, consistent with recent stable weather patterns reported since April 9, pushing actual air temperatures to peak at 33°C per station data. CWA forecasts of 28–31°C daytime highs reflect model consensus, but urban heat effects and solar insolation have aligned with this outcome. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon surge from unobstructed sunshine, though low solar angle and evening cooldown reduce odds; final CWA daily observations expected soon will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$151,016結束日期
2026-04-11市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 1:18 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C (99.9% implied probability) for Taipei's highest temperature on April 11 at Songshan Airport station, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) real-time observations showing midday readings near 30°C under mostly clear skies and hot apparent temperatures exceeding 33°C amid 77% relative humidity. Persistent southwesterly winds have fueled above-normal warmth, consistent with recent stable weather patterns reported since April 9, pushing actual air temperatures to peak at 33°C per station data. CWA forecasts of 28–31°C daytime highs reflect model consensus, but urban heat effects and solar insolation have aligned with this outcome. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon surge from unobstructed sunshine, though low solar angle and evening cooldown reduce odds; final CWA daily observations expected soon will confirm resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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