The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast, projecting Taipei's daytime high of 31–32°C on April 12 under mostly clear skies and just a 20% chance of precipitation, anchors trader consensus at 31°C (35.5% implied probability), with 32°C (22%) close behind. This reflects a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering radiative heating and minimal cloud interference, amid apparent temperatures up to 37°C due to humidity. Recent observations show April 11 highs reaching 32°C, continuing a mild warm spell above the historical April average of 25–27°C. Model consensus from global ensembles like ECMWF supports limited intensification risk, though urban heat islands could nudge peaks higher; watch CWA hourly updates for resolution confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on April 12?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 12?
31°C 37%
32°C 28%
29°C 16%
30°C 15%
$47,032 交易量
$47,032 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
16%
30°C
15%
31°C
37%
32°C
28%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 37%
32°C 28%
29°C 16%
30°C 15%
$47,032 交易量
$47,032 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
16%
30°C
15%
31°C
37%
32°C
28%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast, projecting Taipei's daytime high of 31–32°C on April 12 under mostly clear skies and just a 20% chance of precipitation, anchors trader consensus at 31°C (35.5% implied probability), with 32°C (22%) close behind. This reflects a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering radiative heating and minimal cloud interference, amid apparent temperatures up to 37°C due to humidity. Recent observations show April 11 highs reaching 32°C, continuing a mild warm spell above the historical April average of 25–27°C. Model consensus from global ensembles like ECMWF supports limited intensification risk, though urban heat islands could nudge peaks higher; watch CWA hourly updates for resolution confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions