The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a 32°C high for Taipei on April 13 under partly clear skies with light winds, anchoring trader consensus around 29–32°C outcomes amid a regional heat wave that pushed southern temperatures to 36°C on April 10. This above-average warmth—exceeding April norms of 24–27°C at Taipei Songshan Airport—stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and radiative heating, though model ensembles like GFS show slight spread due to potential afternoon cloud development or sea breezes that could cap peaks at 29–30°C. Key differentiators include solar insolation levels and humidity, with updated CWA guidance and ECMWF runs expected April 12 to refine probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on April 13?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 13?
31°C 24%
29°C 23%
32°C 22%
30°C 14%
28°C or below
12%
29°C
23%
30°C
16%
31°C
24%
32°C
22%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 24%
29°C 23%
32°C 22%
30°C 14%
28°C or below
12%
29°C
23%
30°C
16%
31°C
24%
32°C
22%
33°C
9%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a 32°C high for Taipei on April 13 under partly clear skies with light winds, anchoring trader consensus around 29–32°C outcomes amid a regional heat wave that pushed southern temperatures to 36°C on April 10. This above-average warmth—exceeding April norms of 24–27°C at Taipei Songshan Airport—stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and radiative heating, though model ensembles like GFS show slight spread due to potential afternoon cloud development or sea breezes that could cap peaks at 29–30°C. Key differentiators include solar insolation levels and humidity, with updated CWA guidance and ECMWF runs expected April 12 to refine probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions