Trader consensus assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Wuhan today, driven by close alignment between real-time observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, which project a daytime peak of 22°C under cloudy skies with light rain and northerly winds. Record-breaking 138mm rainfall on April 8-9 depressed regional temperatures, sustaining cool conditions consistent with mid-April climatological normals around 22°C amid East Asian spring monsoon influences. This positioning reflects model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, with limited diurnal warming potential as the day progresses. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing allowing greater solar insolation to nudge the peak to 23°C, though persistent cloud cover makes this improbable; official airport data will finalize resolution by midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 11?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 11?
22°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$75,984 交易量
$75,984 交易量
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.8%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$75,984 交易量
$75,984 交易量
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Wuhan today, driven by close alignment between real-time observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport and short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, which project a daytime peak of 22°C under cloudy skies with light rain and northerly winds. Record-breaking 138mm rainfall on April 8-9 depressed regional temperatures, sustaining cool conditions consistent with mid-April climatological normals around 22°C amid East Asian spring monsoon influences. This positioning reflects model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles, with limited diurnal warming potential as the day progresses. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing allowing greater solar insolation to nudge the peak to 23°C, though persistent cloud cover makes this improbable; official airport data will finalize resolution by midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions