Trader consensus on Polymarket, with real capital at stake, prices a 41.5% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching 23°C on April 12, closely followed by 22°C at 26.5%, reflecting tight clustering in the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models. These project daytime highs of 22–24°C under overcast skies and passing showers (40–50% precipitation chance per timeanddate.com and AccuWeather guidance), capping warming potential amid mild spring conditions. Mid-April climatological norms at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport average 22–23°C highs, consistent with recent days' observed peaks in the low 20s°C. Updated hourly observations will refine outcomes as the market nears resolution based on official airport measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 12?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 12?
23°C 40%
22°C 27%
24°C 20%
25°C 10%
$23,567 交易量
$23,567 交易量
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
5%
22°C
27%
23°C
40%
24°C
20%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
2%
23°C 40%
22°C 27%
24°C 20%
25°C 10%
$23,567 交易量
$23,567 交易量
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
5%
22°C
27%
23°C
40%
24°C
20%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket, with real capital at stake, prices a 41.5% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching 23°C on April 12, closely followed by 22°C at 26.5%, reflecting tight clustering in the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models. These project daytime highs of 22–24°C under overcast skies and passing showers (40–50% precipitation chance per timeanddate.com and AccuWeather guidance), capping warming potential amid mild spring conditions. Mid-April climatological norms at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport average 22–23°C highs, consistent with recent days' observed peaks in the low 20s°C. Updated hourly observations will refine outcomes as the market nears resolution based on official airport measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions