Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C in São Paulo on April 11, driven by confirmed observational data from official meteorological stations monitored by Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET), including key sites like the São Paulo Airport and urban observatories, which recorded that precise maximum amid cloudy, mild autumn conditions. Sustained southerly winds and cloud cover suppressed daytime heating, aligning with typical April highs averaging 25–27°C in the region based on 30-year climatological norms. This positioning reflects strong evidentiary support from calibrated thermometer readings, with negligible risk of revision barring rare quality-control anomalies or late-validated outlier data from peripheral sensors; final INMET validation reports are expected within 24–48 hours to affirm resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 11?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 11?
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,995 交易量
$69,995 交易量
2026-04-11
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,995 交易量
$69,995 交易量
2026-04-11
25°C
$11,497 交易量
100%
26°C
$7,944 交易量
<1%
27°C
$6,297 交易量
<1%
28°C
$6,000 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$5,466 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C in São Paulo on April 11, driven by confirmed observational data from official meteorological stations monitored by Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET), including key sites like the São Paulo Airport and urban observatories, which recorded that precise maximum amid cloudy, mild autumn conditions. Sustained southerly winds and cloud cover suppressed daytime heating, aligning with typical April highs averaging 25–27°C in the region based on 30-year climatological norms. This positioning reflects strong evidentiary support from calibrated thermometer readings, with negligible risk of revision barring rare quality-control anomalies or late-validated outlier data from peripheral sensors; final INMET validation reports are expected within 24–48 hours to affirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$69,995結束日期
2026-04-11市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C in São Paulo on April 11, driven by confirmed observational data from official meteorological stations monitored by Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET), including key sites like the São Paulo Airport and urban observatories, which recorded that precise maximum amid cloudy, mild autumn conditions. Sustained southerly winds and cloud cover suppressed daytime heating, aligning with typical April highs averaging 25–27°C in the region based on 30-year climatological norms. This positioning reflects strong evidentiary support from calibrated thermometer readings, with negligible risk of revision barring rare quality-control anomalies or late-validated outlier data from peripheral sensors; final INMET validation reports are expected within 24–48 hours to affirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$69,995結束日期
2026-04-11市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETTrader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C in São Paulo on April 11, driven by confirmed observational data from official meteorological stations monitored by Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET), including key sites like the São Paulo Airport and urban observatories, which recorded that precise maximum amid cloudy, mild autumn conditions. Sustained southerly winds and cloud cover suppressed daytime heating, aligning with typical April highs averaging 25–27°C in the region based on 30-year climatological norms. This positioning reflects strong evidentiary support from calibrated thermometer readings, with negligible risk of revision barring rare quality-control anomalies or late-validated outlier data from peripheral sensors; final INMET validation reports are expected within 24–48 hours to affirm resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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