Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 14°C high in London on April 12 at 44.5%, narrowly ahead of 15°C at 35.5%, mirroring the Met Office's latest forecast of light showers with daytime highs of 14-15°C and 40-60% precipitation probability amid gusty winds up to 30mph. This positioning stems from the breakdown of an early April high-pressure system that delivered a 26°C peak on April 8, ushering cooler Atlantic air masses; yesterday's (April 10) regional maximum hit 14.3°C at Northolt. Key differentiators include shower timing and cloud cover variability, which could limit insolation and cap peaks below 15°C, per ensemble model spreads. Overnight Met Office updates and morning observations will sharpen resolution ahead of the daily maximum, typically mid-afternoon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月12日倫敦的最高溫度?
4月12日倫敦的最高溫度?
14°C 44%
15°C 34%
13°C 16%
16°C 6.8%
$70,791 交易量
$70,791 交易量
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
16%
14°C
44%
15°C
34%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C或更高
<1%
14°C 44%
15°C 34%
13°C 16%
16°C 6.8%
$70,791 交易量
$70,791 交易量
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
16%
14°C
44%
15°C
34%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 14°C high in London on April 12 at 44.5%, narrowly ahead of 15°C at 35.5%, mirroring the Met Office's latest forecast of light showers with daytime highs of 14-15°C and 40-60% precipitation probability amid gusty winds up to 30mph. This positioning stems from the breakdown of an early April high-pressure system that delivered a 26°C peak on April 8, ushering cooler Atlantic air masses; yesterday's (April 10) regional maximum hit 14.3°C at Northolt. Key differentiators include shower timing and cloud cover variability, which could limit insolation and cap peaks below 15°C, per ensemble model spreads. Overnight Met Office updates and morning observations will sharpen resolution ahead of the daily maximum, typically mid-afternoon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions