Latest Met Office forecasts project a maximum temperature of 14°C for London on April 13 amid sunny intervals, light winds gusting to 20 mph, and a 30% midday shower risk, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 33.5% implied probability after early April's record 26.6°C heat at Kew Gardens yielded to cooler Atlantic air masses and low-pressure troughs. Tight odds reflect model spread—ECMWF ensembles hint at clearer skies potentially lifting to 15°C (25%) or 16°C+ (25.5%) if showers fizzle, while GFS runs emphasize cloud caps near 13-14°C baselines for mid-April climatology. New overnight updates from UKMO and global models could shift sentiment ahead of resolution via Heathrow observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月13日倫敦的最高溫度?
4月13日倫敦的最高溫度?
14°C 38%
16°C或以上 24%
15°C 22%
13°C 17%
$45,646 交易量
$45,646 交易量
6°C或以下
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
17%
14°C
38%
15°C
22%
16°C或以上
24%
14°C 38%
16°C或以上 24%
15°C 22%
13°C 17%
$45,646 交易量
$45,646 交易量
6°C或以下
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
17%
14°C
38%
15°C
22%
16°C或以上
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest Met Office forecasts project a maximum temperature of 14°C for London on April 13 amid sunny intervals, light winds gusting to 20 mph, and a 30% midday shower risk, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 33.5% implied probability after early April's record 26.6°C heat at Kew Gardens yielded to cooler Atlantic air masses and low-pressure troughs. Tight odds reflect model spread—ECMWF ensembles hint at clearer skies potentially lifting to 15°C (25%) or 16°C+ (25.5%) if showers fizzle, while GFS runs emphasize cloud caps near 13-14°C baselines for mid-April climatology. New overnight updates from UKMO and global models could shift sentiment ahead of resolution via Heathrow observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions