Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts, updated within the last 24 hours, project Munich's highest temperature on April 12 clustering around 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, driving trader consensus toward 14°C at 39.5% implied probability. Yesterday's observed high near 13°C amid clearing high-pressure influence, combined with today's cool morning start at 5°C and rising temperatures, supports this positioning, while 15°C or higher at 24.5% accounts for potential solar heating if clouds thin further. Ensemble spreads of 11-16°C reflect uncertainty from frontal timing and cloud variability typical in mid-April transitions; watch afternoon DWD advisories and ECMWF refreshes for shifts ahead of resolution based on official airport measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on April 12?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 12?
14°C 45%
15°C or higher 20%
13°C 19%
12°C 10.0%
$69,307 交易量
$69,307 交易量
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
10%
13°C
19%
14°C
45%
15°C or higher
20%
14°C 45%
15°C or higher 20%
13°C 19%
12°C 10.0%
$69,307 交易量
$69,307 交易量
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
10%
13°C
19%
14°C
45%
15°C or higher
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts, updated within the last 24 hours, project Munich's highest temperature on April 12 clustering around 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, driving trader consensus toward 14°C at 39.5% implied probability. Yesterday's observed high near 13°C amid clearing high-pressure influence, combined with today's cool morning start at 5°C and rising temperatures, supports this positioning, while 15°C or higher at 24.5% accounts for potential solar heating if clouds thin further. Ensemble spreads of 11-16°C reflect uncertainty from frontal timing and cloud variability typical in mid-April transitions; watch afternoon DWD advisories and ECMWF refreshes for shifts ahead of resolution based on official airport measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions