Market icon

開普敦4月13日的最高溫度?

Market icon

開普敦4月13日的最高溫度?

28°C 25%

27°C 21%

26°C 16%

25°C 13%

Polymarket
最新

28°C 25%

27°C 21%

26°C 16%

25°C 13%

Polymarket
最新

20°C或以下

$197 交易量

<1%

21°C

$60 交易量

1%

22°C

$72 交易量

9%

23°C

$0 交易量

10%

24°C

$0 交易量

10%

25°C

$0 交易量

13%

26°C

$5 交易量

16%

27°C

$2 交易量

21%

28°C

$154 交易量

18%

29°C

$2 交易量

11%

30°C或以上

$247 交易量

19%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles accessed via AccuWeather, show divergent guidance for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 13, with AccuWeather projecting around 27°C under mostly sunny skies and low precipitation risk (5%), while some runs imply upside potential toward 30°C or higher amid a developing upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry warming. The South African Weather Service (SAWS) extended outlook describes partly cloudy conditions, cool to warm with isolated showers, introducing uncertainty from possible cloud cover or southerly sea breezes that could cap peaks near 21–22°C. Trader consensus reflects this spread, as berg wind-like föhn effects from the Cape Fold Mountains have historically spiked autumn highs above climatological norms (23°C average), but model disagreements on ridge strength and wind shear keep probabilities tightly clustered. New SAWS advisories and model updates expected April 12 will likely refine odds.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$739
結束日期
2026-04-13
市場開放時間
Apr 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles accessed via AccuWeather, show divergent guidance for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 13, with AccuWeather projecting around 27°C under mostly sunny skies and low precipitation risk (5%), while some runs imply upside potential toward 30°C or higher amid a developing upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry warming. The South African Weather Service (SAWS) extended outlook describes partly cloudy conditions, cool to warm with isolated showers, introducing uncertainty from possible cloud cover or southerly sea breezes that could cap peaks near 21–22°C. Trader consensus reflects this spread, as berg wind-like föhn effects from the Cape Fold Mountains have historically spiked autumn highs above climatological norms (23°C average), but model disagreements on ridge strength and wind shear keep probabilities tightly clustered. New SAWS advisories and model updates expected April 12 will likely refine odds.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$739
結束日期
2026-04-13
市場開放時間
Apr 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"開普敦4月13日的最高溫度?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "27°C" at 21%, followed by "30°C或以上" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"開普敦4月13日的最高溫度?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "開普敦4月13日的最高溫度?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "開普敦4月13日的最高溫度?" is "27°C" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30°C或以上" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "開普敦4月13日的最高溫度?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.