Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an 80°F or higher high temperature in Houston on April 13, with 80% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus projecting peaks of 80-84°F at William P. Hobby Airport under a building upper-level ridge over Texas. This setup features southerly winds advecting warm, moist Gulf air amid light cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk, continuing a recent warm spell that saw a record 86°F high earlier this week. Historical April normals hover around 78°F, but above-normal conditions persist per NOAA outlooks. Key uncertainty stems from potential shortwave disturbances triggering isolated thunderstorms, which could cap intensities; watch for 12Z model updates and NWS afternoon advisories for refinements ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on April 13?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 13?
80°F or higher 82%
78-79°F 14.0%
76-77°F 1.7%
74-75°F 1.4%
$20,210 交易量
$20,210 交易量
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
14%
80°F or higher
82%
80°F or higher 82%
78-79°F 14.0%
76-77°F 1.7%
74-75°F 1.4%
$20,210 交易量
$20,210 交易量
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
14%
80°F or higher
82%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors an 80°F or higher high temperature in Houston on April 13, with 80% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus projecting peaks of 80-84°F at William P. Hobby Airport under a building upper-level ridge over Texas. This setup features southerly winds advecting warm, moist Gulf air amid light cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk, continuing a recent warm spell that saw a record 86°F high earlier this week. Historical April normals hover around 78°F, but above-normal conditions persist per NOAA outlooks. Key uncertainty stems from potential shortwave disturbances triggering isolated thunderstorms, which could cap intensities; watch for 12Z model updates and NWS afternoon advisories for refinements ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions