National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus project Houston-area high temperatures of 77-82°F on April 12, driving the 97.8% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher as traders price in strong model agreement under a building upper-level ridge over Texas. Overnight clearing after recent overcast conditions, combined with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation odds below 20%, supports daytime heating to well above the threshold, aligning with April climatological normals around 78°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or a faster-moving shortwave trough introducing clouds, though steering patterns favor dry subsidence; final NWS updates expected by midday April 11 could refine this high-confidence outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on April 12?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 12?
74°F or higher 97.4%
72-73°F 1.9%
70-71°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$15,714 交易量
$15,714 交易量
2026-04-12
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
97%
74°F or higher 97.4%
72-73°F 1.9%
70-71°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$15,714 交易量
$15,714 交易量
2026-04-12
55°F or below
$1,343 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$1,656 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$1,219 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$1,263 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$1,186 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$1,208 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$1,223 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$2,143 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$928 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$1,070 交易量
2%
74°F or higher
$2,474 交易量
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus project Houston-area high temperatures of 77-82°F on April 12, driving the 97.8% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher as traders price in strong model agreement under a building upper-level ridge over Texas. Overnight clearing after recent overcast conditions, combined with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation odds below 20%, supports daytime heating to well above the threshold, aligning with April climatological normals around 78°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or a faster-moving shortwave trough introducing clouds, though steering patterns favor dry subsidence; final NWS updates expected by midday April 11 could refine this high-confidence outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
交易量
$15,714結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus project Houston-area high temperatures of 77-82°F on April 12, driving the 97.8% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher as traders price in strong model agreement under a building upper-level ridge over Texas. Overnight clearing after recent overcast conditions, combined with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation odds below 20%, supports daytime heating to well above the threshold, aligning with April climatological normals around 78°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or a faster-moving shortwave trough introducing clouds, though steering patterns favor dry subsidence; final NWS updates expected by midday April 11 could refine this high-confidence outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$15,714結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus project Houston-area high temperatures of 77-82°F on April 12, driving the 97.8% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher as traders price in strong model agreement under a building upper-level ridge over Texas. Overnight clearing after recent overcast conditions, combined with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation odds below 20%, supports daytime heating to well above the threshold, aligning with April climatological normals around 78°F. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer persistence or a faster-moving shortwave trough introducing clouds, though steering patterns favor dry subsidence; final NWS updates expected by midday April 11 could refine this high-confidence outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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