National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on April 11 project highs in the upper 70s to mid-80s°F at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus around 77-81°F and driving the 98.4% market-implied probability for 76°F or higher. This positioning reflects a persistent warm, humid air mass over Southeast Texas, with only scattered showers and thunderstorms (20-60% chance) expected to minimally suppress peak heating under partly cloudy skies. Historical April normals hover near 77°F, and recent observations show similar warm trends. Realistic challenges include unexpected persistent cloud cover or heavy downpours capping highs at 74-75°F, though model agreement and current upper-level ridging make this unlikely; final high reports from official stations will resolve by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on April 11?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 11?
76°F or higher 98.4%
74-75°F 1.3%
72-73°F <1%
$29,037 交易量
$29,037 交易量
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
98%
76°F or higher 98.4%
74-75°F 1.3%
72-73°F <1%
$29,037 交易量
$29,037 交易量
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on April 11 project highs in the upper 70s to mid-80s°F at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus around 77-81°F and driving the 98.4% market-implied probability for 76°F or higher. This positioning reflects a persistent warm, humid air mass over Southeast Texas, with only scattered showers and thunderstorms (20-60% chance) expected to minimally suppress peak heating under partly cloudy skies. Historical April normals hover near 77°F, and recent observations show similar warm trends. Realistic challenges include unexpected persistent cloud cover or heavy downpours capping highs at 74-75°F, though model agreement and current upper-level ridging make this unlikely; final high reports from official stations will resolve by evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions