National Weather Service forecasts a high of 77°F for Denver on April 11 under mostly cloudy skies with a low chance of showers, anchoring trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 60°F or higher. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering downslope winds and adiabatic warming, extending a remarkable warm spell—record highs of 81°F on April 9 and 80°F on April 10 shattered norms of 61°F. Model ensembles from NOAA and ECMWF show tight agreement on afternoon peaks in the mid-to-upper 70s, with observational data from Denver International Airport (KDEN) already trending warm. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cool frontal surge or heavy convective showers suppressing insolation, though such scenarios lack ensemble support and would require rapid atmospheric shifts. Hourly KDEN updates through evening will refine the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on April 11?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 11?
60°F or higher 99.8%
58-59°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$156,821 交易量
$156,821 交易量
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60°F or higher
100%
60°F or higher 99.8%
58-59°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$156,821 交易量
$156,821 交易量
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60°F or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts a high of 77°F for Denver on April 11 under mostly cloudy skies with a low chance of showers, anchoring trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 60°F or higher. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering downslope winds and adiabatic warming, extending a remarkable warm spell—record highs of 81°F on April 9 and 80°F on April 10 shattered norms of 61°F. Model ensembles from NOAA and ECMWF show tight agreement on afternoon peaks in the mid-to-upper 70s, with observational data from Denver International Airport (KDEN) already trending warm. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cool frontal surge or heavy convective showers suppressing insolation, though such scenarios lack ensemble support and would require rapid atmospheric shifts. Hourly KDEN updates through evening will refine the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions