National Weather Service guidance projects a high near 62°F at Central Park today under mostly sunny skies and light northwest winds of 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus to split evenly between 60-61°F and 62-63°F outcomes at 41% implied probabilities each. Ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models show a tight cluster around 62-65°F, but minor discrepancies arise from variable boundary layer mixing and potential timing of peak insolation amid April's climatological high-pressure ridges. Hourly forecasts indicate a 2-5 p.m. crest, where lingering morning clouds or subtle sea-breeze influences could cap temperatures at 61°F, while clearer conditions enable 63°F; real-time KNYC observations will clarify as the diurnal cycle progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on April 11?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 11?
62-63°F 43%
60-61°F 42%
64-65°F 10%
59°F or below 6.3%
$103,105 交易量
$103,105 交易量
2026-04-11
59°F or below
6%
60-61°F
42%
62-63°F
43%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
62-63°F 43%
60-61°F 42%
64-65°F 10%
59°F or below 6.3%
$103,105 交易量
$103,105 交易量
2026-04-11
59°F or below
$22,226 交易量
6%
60-61°F
$11,354 交易量
42%
62-63°F
$12,172 交易量
43%
64-65°F
$8,169 交易量
10%
66-67°F
$9,415 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$5,599 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$7,519 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$7,491 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$5,681 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$5,244 交易量
<1%
78°F or higher
$8,504 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance projects a high near 62°F at Central Park today under mostly sunny skies and light northwest winds of 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus to split evenly between 60-61°F and 62-63°F outcomes at 41% implied probabilities each. Ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models show a tight cluster around 62-65°F, but minor discrepancies arise from variable boundary layer mixing and potential timing of peak insolation amid April's climatological high-pressure ridges. Hourly forecasts indicate a 2-5 p.m. crest, where lingering morning clouds or subtle sea-breeze influences could cap temperatures at 61°F, while clearer conditions enable 63°F; real-time KNYC observations will clarify as the diurnal cycle progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$103,105結束日期
2026-04-11市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance projects a high near 62°F at Central Park today under mostly sunny skies and light northwest winds of 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus to split evenly between 60-61°F and 62-63°F outcomes at 41% implied probabilities each. Ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models show a tight cluster around 62-65°F, but minor discrepancies arise from variable boundary layer mixing and potential timing of peak insolation amid April's climatological high-pressure ridges. Hourly forecasts indicate a 2-5 p.m. crest, where lingering morning clouds or subtle sea-breeze influences could cap temperatures at 61°F, while clearer conditions enable 63°F; real-time KNYC observations will clarify as the diurnal cycle progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$103,105結束日期
2026-04-11市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 12:18 AM ETNational Weather Service guidance projects a high near 62°F at Central Park today under mostly sunny skies and light northwest winds of 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus to split evenly between 60-61°F and 62-63°F outcomes at 41% implied probabilities each. Ensemble means from GFS and ECMWF models show a tight cluster around 62-65°F, but minor discrepancies arise from variable boundary layer mixing and potential timing of peak insolation amid April's climatological high-pressure ridges. Hourly forecasts indicate a 2-5 p.m. crest, where lingering morning clouds or subtle sea-breeze influences could cap temperatures at 61°F, while clearer conditions enable 63°F; real-time KNYC observations will clarify as the diurnal cycle progresses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions