Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Jeddah's highest temperature on April 13, with implied odds clustered around 26–34°C outcomes and a slight edge to 34°C or higher at 25.5%, driven by the National Center for Meteorology's recent observations of hazy skies and highs near 31°C over the past 48 hours—conditions suppressing solar heating via dust aerosols and high humidity along the Red Sea coast. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows consensus near 31–32°C (88–89°F), tempered by sea breezes and lingering thunderstorm risks in the Makkah region, though climatological April highs averaging 32–35°C allow for upside variability. Watch NCM updates in the next 24 hours for refined convective outlooks before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 13?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 13?
34°C or higher 27%
28°C 22%
27°C 21%
29°C 21%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
18%
27°C
21%
28°C
22%
29°C
21%
30°C
21%
31°C
21%
32°C
21%
33°C
20%
34°C or higher
27%
34°C or higher 27%
28°C 22%
27°C 21%
29°C 21%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
18%
27°C
21%
28°C
22%
29°C
21%
30°C
21%
31°C
21%
32°C
21%
33°C
20%
34°C or higher
27%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 11, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Jeddah's highest temperature on April 13, with implied odds clustered around 26–34°C outcomes and a slight edge to 34°C or higher at 25.5%, driven by the National Center for Meteorology's recent observations of hazy skies and highs near 31°C over the past 48 hours—conditions suppressing solar heating via dust aerosols and high humidity along the Red Sea coast. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models shows consensus near 31–32°C (88–89°F), tempered by sea breezes and lingering thunderstorm risks in the Makkah region, though climatological April highs averaging 32–35°C allow for upside variability. Watch NCM updates in the next 24 hours for refined convective outlooks before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions