Finalized observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA), the official measurement site, confirm a high temperature of 80°F on April 10, 2026, peaking around 2 PM under mostly cloudy skies with 0.67 inches of precipitation, driving the market's 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F bin. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service forecasts anticipating highs near 80°F amid scattered showers that limited solar insolation and daytime heating, below the climatological April normal of 82°F. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of real-time data via Weather Underground's KMIA records, which are now finalized. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization revisions to official observations, though resolution criteria exclude such changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Miami on April 10?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 10?
80-81°F 100.0%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$144,866 交易量
$144,866 交易量
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 100.0%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$144,866 交易量
$144,866 交易量
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Finalized observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA), the official measurement site, confirm a high temperature of 80°F on April 10, 2026, peaking around 2 PM under mostly cloudy skies with 0.67 inches of precipitation, driving the market's 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F bin. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service forecasts anticipating highs near 80°F amid scattered showers that limited solar insolation and daytime heating, below the climatological April normal of 82°F. Trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of real-time data via Weather Underground's KMIA records, which are now finalized. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization revisions to official observations, though resolution criteria exclude such changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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