Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C (99.9% implied probability) as Hong Kong's highest temperature on April 10, 2026, backed by direct observational data from the authoritative Hong Kong Observatory (HKO). Fine, sunny conditions with light winds and moderate humidity—forecast by HKO's morning update—enabled daytime highs in the 26–30°C range, culminating in a confirmed maximum of 28°C at the Observatory station, consistent with 9 a.m.-to-9 a.m. measurements. This aligns with 2026's abnormally warm patterns, following HKO's seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures amid persistent subtropical high influence. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event, limited to rare data revisions from quality checks or auxiliary station discrepancies, though HKO readings define market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 10?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 10?
28°C 99.8%
29°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$239,692 交易量
$239,692 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.8%
29°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$239,692 交易量
$239,692 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C (99.9% implied probability) as Hong Kong's highest temperature on April 10, 2026, backed by direct observational data from the authoritative Hong Kong Observatory (HKO). Fine, sunny conditions with light winds and moderate humidity—forecast by HKO's morning update—enabled daytime highs in the 26–30°C range, culminating in a confirmed maximum of 28°C at the Observatory station, consistent with 9 a.m.-to-9 a.m. measurements. This aligns with 2026's abnormally warm patterns, following HKO's seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures amid persistent subtropical high influence. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event, limited to rare data revisions from quality checks or auxiliary station discrepancies, though HKO readings define market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions