Latest guidance from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a maximum temperature of 22-24°C at Ministro Pistarini International Airport— the market's resolution site—under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds fostering daytime solar heating from morning readings near 18°C. This positions 24°C as the trader-favored outcome at 51.5% implied probability, edging out 23°C (40.5%), reflecting ensemble forecast consensus amid a mild early-autumn warm anomaly above the April climatological average of 22-23°C. Recent days saw highs around 20-22°C with steady cooling trends, but unhindered insolation today boosts upside potential. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists from possible afternoon clouds; track hourly airport observations through evening for shifts in market sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 11?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 11?
23°C 63%
24°C 37%
25°C 3.2%
26°C <1%
$67,966 交易量
$67,966 交易量
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
23°C
63%
24°C
32%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 63%
24°C 37%
25°C 3.2%
26°C <1%
$67,966 交易量
$67,966 交易量
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
23°C
63%
24°C
32%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
Latest guidance from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a maximum temperature of 22-24°C at Ministro Pistarini International Airport— the market's resolution site—under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds fostering daytime solar heating from morning readings near 18°C. This positions 24°C as the trader-favored outcome at 51.5% implied probability, edging out 23°C (40.5%), reflecting ensemble forecast consensus amid a mild early-autumn warm anomaly above the April climatological average of 22-23°C. Recent days saw highs around 20-22°C with steady cooling trends, but unhindered insolation today boosts upside potential. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists from possible afternoon clouds; track hourly airport observations through evening for shifts in market sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions