Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (32.5%) and 25°C (30%) as the highest temperature at Buenos Aires' Ministro Pistarini International Airport on April 12, reflecting the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles that project afternoon peaks in this range amid mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and a persistent warm air mass. This follows April 11's observed high near 22°C and early month's record nighttime minimums around 24°C, per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional data, signaling above-average autumn warmth driven by high-pressure ridging over the pampas. Differentiating factors include model spread on peak insolation versus potential sea-breeze cooling or thin cloud cover; new 12z model runs expected within hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 12?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 12?
24°C 33%
25°C 29%
23°C 16%
26°C 14%
$11,946 交易量
$11,946 交易量
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
16%
24°C
33%
25°C
29%
26°C
14%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 33%
25°C 29%
23°C 16%
26°C 14%
$11,946 交易量
$11,946 交易量
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
16%
24°C
33%
25°C
29%
26°C
14%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (32.5%) and 25°C (30%) as the highest temperature at Buenos Aires' Ministro Pistarini International Airport on April 12, reflecting the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles that project afternoon peaks in this range amid mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and a persistent warm air mass. This follows April 11's observed high near 22°C and early month's record nighttime minimums around 24°C, per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional data, signaling above-average autumn warmth driven by high-pressure ridging over the pampas. Differentiating factors include model spread on peak insolation versus potential sea-breeze cooling or thin cloud cover; new 12z model runs expected within hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions