Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest numerical weather prediction model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, which project a maximum temperature around 24-25°C in Buenos Aires on April 13, with the razor-thin spread between these outcomes driven by slight divergences in forecasted cloud cover and sea breeze timing from the Río de la Plata. Current high-pressure ridging over the pampas supports above-climatological highs—April averages 22°C at Ezeiza Airport station—following a warming trend from recent days with unhindered solar heating. Lower odds for 23°C or below stem from minimal precipitation risk, while extremes remain unlikely per historical autumn patterns. Watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) advisories and 12Z model runs on April 12 for potential refinements ahead of resolution based on official Ezeiza observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 13?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 13?
24°C 30%
25°C 29%
23°C 15%
27°C 4.5%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
15%
24°C
30%
25°C
32%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 30%
25°C 29%
23°C 15%
27°C 4.5%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
15%
24°C
30%
25°C
32%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest numerical weather prediction model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS, which project a maximum temperature around 24-25°C in Buenos Aires on April 13, with the razor-thin spread between these outcomes driven by slight divergences in forecasted cloud cover and sea breeze timing from the Río de la Plata. Current high-pressure ridging over the pampas supports above-climatological highs—April averages 22°C at Ezeiza Airport station—following a warming trend from recent days with unhindered solar heating. Lower odds for 23°C or below stem from minimal precipitation risk, while extremes remain unlikely per historical autumn patterns. Watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) advisories and 12Z model runs on April 12 for potential refinements ahead of resolution based on official Ezeiza observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions