Official IMGW observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport confirm the highest temperature reached 12°C today, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as the market nears resolution. This aligns with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) model ensembles predicting peaks around 12°C under persistent northerly airflow, partial cloud cover limiting solar insolation, and cooler continental air masses typical for mid-April in central Europe. Historical April highs average 13°C but vary ±3°C; current positioning reflects intraday data peaking mid-afternoon before evening decline to 5°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-processing data revisions from IMGW, though unlikely beyond standard whole-degree precision. Final daily bulletin expected shortly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 11?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 11?
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$83,870 交易量
$83,870 交易量
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$83,870 交易量
$83,870 交易量
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official IMGW observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport confirm the highest temperature reached 12°C today, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as the market nears resolution. This aligns with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) model ensembles predicting peaks around 12°C under persistent northerly airflow, partial cloud cover limiting solar insolation, and cooler continental air masses typical for mid-April in central Europe. Historical April highs average 13°C but vary ±3°C; current positioning reflects intraday data peaking mid-afternoon before evening decline to 5°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-processing data revisions from IMGW, though unlikely beyond standard whole-degree precision. Final daily bulletin expected shortly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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