Official observations from the Milan Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—recorded a maximum temperature of 21°C on April 11, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as data confirmation solidified overnight. This aligns with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs over the prior 48 hours, which projected mild highs of 20–22°C under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, featuring light southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and seasonal April norms around 18–20°C. Such settled anticyclonic conditions minimized variability, matching historical spring patterns with low deviation risks. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation but could include rare data audits by Italy's Aeronautica Militare or ARPA Lombardia revising automated readings due to sensor anomalies, though no such issues have surfaced.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on April 11?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 11?
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$85,197 交易量
$85,197 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$85,197 交易量
$85,197 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Milan Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—recorded a maximum temperature of 21°C on April 11, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as data confirmation solidified overnight. This aligns with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs over the prior 48 hours, which projected mild highs of 20–22°C under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, featuring light southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and seasonal April norms around 18–20°C. Such settled anticyclonic conditions minimized variability, matching historical spring patterns with low deviation risks. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation but could include rare data audits by Italy's Aeronautica Militare or ARPA Lombardia revising automated readings due to sensor anomalies, though no such issues have surfaced.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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