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Highest temperature in Milan on April 11?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Milan on April 11?

21°C 100.0%

13°C or below <1%

14°C <1%

15°C <1%

Polymarket

$85,197 交易量

21°C 100.0%

13°C or below <1%

14°C <1%

15°C <1%

Polymarket

$85,197 交易量

13°C or below

$2,025 交易量

No

14°C

$2,349 交易量

No

15°C

$1,467 交易量

No

16°C

$3,293 交易量

No

17°C

$3,218 交易量

No

18°C

$2,382 交易量

No

19°C

$7,710 交易量

No

20°C

$16,103 交易量

No

21°C

$16,340 交易量

Yes

22°C

$13,952 交易量

No

23°C or higher

$16,358 交易量

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Milan Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—recorded a maximum temperature of 21°C on April 11, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as data confirmation solidified overnight. This aligns with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs over the prior 48 hours, which projected mild highs of 20–22°C under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, featuring light southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and seasonal April norms around 18–20°C. Such settled anticyclonic conditions minimized variability, matching historical spring patterns with low deviation risks. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation but could include rare data audits by Italy's Aeronautica Militare or ARPA Lombardia revising automated readings due to sensor anomalies, though no such issues have surfaced.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$85,197
結束日期
2026-04-11
市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Milan Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—recorded a maximum temperature of 21°C on April 11, 2026, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as data confirmation solidified overnight. This aligns with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs over the prior 48 hours, which projected mild highs of 20–22°C under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, featuring light southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and seasonal April norms around 18–20°C. Such settled anticyclonic conditions minimized variability, matching historical spring patterns with low deviation risks. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation but could include rare data audits by Italy's Aeronautica Militare or ARPA Lombardia revising automated readings due to sensor anomalies, though no such issues have surfaced.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$85,197
結束日期
2026-04-11
市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Milan on April 11?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "21°C" at 100%, followed by "13°C or below" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Milan on April 11?" has generated $85.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Milan on April 11?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Milan on April 11?" is "21°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "13°C or below" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Milan on April 11?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.