BMKG's latest forecast as of April 10 projects light rain across central Jakarta on April 13 with a temperature range of 25–30°C and 70–94% humidity, capping solar insolation and favoring outcomes around 30–32°C; however, trader consensus implies 33°C at 38.5% probability over 32°C at 29.5%, driven by ensemble model divergences showing potential afternoon clearing, historical April averages near 32°C, and Jakarta's urban heat island effect that often boosts measured highs at official stations by 1–2°C above rural analogs. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent—persistent overcast suppresses peaks below 32°C, while sunny breaks enable 33–34°C—and sea breeze strength amid ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning toward drier patterns. Updated BMKG and global model runs through April 12 could refine this tight race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 13?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 13?
33°C 38%
32°C 32%
34°C 20%
31°C 12%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
8%
31°C
12%
32°C
32%
33°C
38%
34°C
17%
35°C
7%
36°C
7%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 38%
32°C 32%
34°C 20%
31°C 12%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
8%
31°C
12%
32°C
32%
33°C
38%
34°C
17%
35°C
7%
36°C
7%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
BMKG's latest forecast as of April 10 projects light rain across central Jakarta on April 13 with a temperature range of 25–30°C and 70–94% humidity, capping solar insolation and favoring outcomes around 30–32°C; however, trader consensus implies 33°C at 38.5% probability over 32°C at 29.5%, driven by ensemble model divergences showing potential afternoon clearing, historical April averages near 32°C, and Jakarta's urban heat island effect that often boosts measured highs at official stations by 1–2°C above rural analogs. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent—persistent overcast suppresses peaks below 32°C, while sunny breaks enable 33–34°C—and sea breeze strength amid ENSO-neutral conditions transitioning toward drier patterns. Updated BMKG and global model runs through April 12 could refine this tight race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions