Official observations from Roshydromet stations and Vnukovo International Airport confirm Moscow's highest temperature on April 10 reached exactly 4°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid persistent cloud cover, light rain mixed with sleet, and northerly winds advecting cold continental air under a weak upper-air trough over European Russia. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models clustered around 4°C due to suppressed diurnal heating from overcast skies, aligning with early April's variable spring conditions below the climatological average high of 8–10°C. Realistic challenges would require a late data revision from monitoring agencies or discrepancies across official airport METAR reports, though such shifts are exceedingly rare post-daylight hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Moscow on April 10?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 10?
4°C 100.0%
5°C <1%
6°C or higher <1%
$109,055 交易量
$109,055 交易量
2026-04-10
4°C
100%
5°C
<1%
6°C or higher
<1%
4°C 100.0%
5°C <1%
6°C or higher <1%
$109,055 交易量
$109,055 交易量
2026-04-10
4°C
$14,206 交易量
100%
5°C
$11,360 交易量
<1%
6°C or higher
$12,236 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Roshydromet stations and Vnukovo International Airport confirm Moscow's highest temperature on April 10 reached exactly 4°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid persistent cloud cover, light rain mixed with sleet, and northerly winds advecting cold continental air under a weak upper-air trough over European Russia. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models clustered around 4°C due to suppressed diurnal heating from overcast skies, aligning with early April's variable spring conditions below the climatological average high of 8–10°C. Realistic challenges would require a late data revision from monitoring agencies or discrepancies across official airport METAR reports, though such shifts are exceedingly rare post-daylight hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 6, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
交易量
$109,055結束日期
2026-04-10市場開放時間
Apr 6, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Roshydromet stations and Vnukovo International Airport confirm Moscow's highest temperature on April 10 reached exactly 4°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid persistent cloud cover, light rain mixed with sleet, and northerly winds advecting cold continental air under a weak upper-air trough over European Russia. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models clustered around 4°C due to suppressed diurnal heating from overcast skies, aligning with early April's variable spring conditions below the climatological average high of 8–10°C. Realistic challenges would require a late data revision from monitoring agencies or discrepancies across official airport METAR reports, though such shifts are exceedingly rare post-daylight hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$109,055結束日期
2026-04-10市場開放時間
Apr 6, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from Roshydromet stations and Vnukovo International Airport confirm Moscow's highest temperature on April 10 reached exactly 4°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome amid persistent cloud cover, light rain mixed with sleet, and northerly winds advecting cold continental air under a weak upper-air trough over European Russia. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models clustered around 4°C due to suppressed diurnal heating from overcast skies, aligning with early April's variable spring conditions below the climatological average high of 8–10°C. Realistic challenges would require a late data revision from monitoring agencies or discrepancies across official airport METAR reports, though such shifts are exceedingly rare post-daylight hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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