Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 10°C high in Moscow at 43.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 9°C (24%) and 11°C (19%), driven by the latest forecast model ensembles from Russian Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS converging on daytime peaks of 10–11°C under overcast skies with light afternoon rain. This positioning reflects a sharp rebound from the early April cold snap—April 10 and 11 highs lingered near 4–5°C amid Arctic air intrusion—now yielding to a moderating Atlantic air mass aligning with mid-April climatological norms of 10–12°C. Model spreads remain tight at ±1–2°C, with official station observations (e.g., Balchug or Vnukovo) determining resolution by midnight; hourly updates from monitoring agencies could refine trader sentiment as diurnal warming unfolds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Moscow on April 12?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 12?
10°C 43%
9°C 24%
11°C 18%
12°C 4.5%
$20,386 交易量
$20,386 交易量
2026-04-12
7°C or below
1%
8°C
4%
9°C
24%
10°C
43%
11°C
18%
12°C
5%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
10°C 43%
9°C 24%
11°C 18%
12°C 4.5%
$20,386 交易量
$20,386 交易量
2026-04-12
7°C or below
$2,578 交易量
1%
8°C
$2,320 交易量
4%
9°C
$1,938 交易量
24%
10°C
$1,577 交易量
43%
11°C
$1,846 交易量
18%
12°C
$1,086 交易量
5%
13°C
$1,550 交易量
<1%
14°C
$2,510 交易量
1%
15°C
$1,842 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,300 交易量
<1%
17°C or higher
$1,839 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 10°C high in Moscow at 43.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 9°C (24%) and 11°C (19%), driven by the latest forecast model ensembles from Russian Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS converging on daytime peaks of 10–11°C under overcast skies with light afternoon rain. This positioning reflects a sharp rebound from the early April cold snap—April 10 and 11 highs lingered near 4–5°C amid Arctic air intrusion—now yielding to a moderating Atlantic air mass aligning with mid-April climatological norms of 10–12°C. Model spreads remain tight at ±1–2°C, with official station observations (e.g., Balchug or Vnukovo) determining resolution by midnight; hourly updates from monitoring agencies could refine trader sentiment as diurnal warming unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 8, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
交易量
$20,386結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 10°C high in Moscow at 43.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 9°C (24%) and 11°C (19%), driven by the latest forecast model ensembles from Russian Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS converging on daytime peaks of 10–11°C under overcast skies with light afternoon rain. This positioning reflects a sharp rebound from the early April cold snap—April 10 and 11 highs lingered near 4–5°C amid Arctic air intrusion—now yielding to a moderating Atlantic air mass aligning with mid-April climatological norms of 10–12°C. Model spreads remain tight at ±1–2°C, with official station observations (e.g., Balchug or Vnukovo) determining resolution by midnight; hourly updates from monitoring agencies could refine trader sentiment as diurnal warming unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$20,386結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 10°C high in Moscow at 43.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 9°C (24%) and 11°C (19%), driven by the latest forecast model ensembles from Russian Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS converging on daytime peaks of 10–11°C under overcast skies with light afternoon rain. This positioning reflects a sharp rebound from the early April cold snap—April 10 and 11 highs lingered near 4–5°C amid Arctic air intrusion—now yielding to a moderating Atlantic air mass aligning with mid-April climatological norms of 10–12°C. Model spreads remain tight at ±1–2°C, with official station observations (e.g., Balchug or Vnukovo) determining resolution by midnight; hourly updates from monitoring agencies could refine trader sentiment as diurnal warming unfolds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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