Latest Roshydromet forecasts and ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS project Moscow's highest temperature on April 13 reaching 11–13°C under building high pressure and light winds, driving the 91% market-implied probability for 11°C or higher. This follows a cool northerly airflow capping April 11 highs at 4–6°C, with recent 24-hour updates showing sunnier conditions and above-average spring warmth aligning with historical April norms of 10–12°C daytime maxima. Trader sentiment reflects this strong scientific agreement on mild advection from the southwest, though realistic challenges include an unexpected cold front, persistent cloud cover, or nocturnal inversions suppressing peaks below 11°C—scenarios with low odds per current 0–12z model runs. Key updates expected in tomorrow's Roshydromet briefing and ECMWF refresh.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Moscow on April 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 13?
11°C or higher 92%
10°C 4.5%
9°C 2.2%
8°C 1.1%
$13,428 交易量
$13,428 交易量
1°C or below
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
5%
11°C or higher
92%
11°C or higher 92%
10°C 4.5%
9°C 2.2%
8°C 1.1%
$13,428 交易量
$13,428 交易量
1°C or below
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
5%
11°C or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Roshydromet forecasts and ensemble model consensus from ECMWF and GFS project Moscow's highest temperature on April 13 reaching 11–13°C under building high pressure and light winds, driving the 91% market-implied probability for 11°C or higher. This follows a cool northerly airflow capping April 11 highs at 4–6°C, with recent 24-hour updates showing sunnier conditions and above-average spring warmth aligning with historical April norms of 10–12°C daytime maxima. Trader sentiment reflects this strong scientific agreement on mild advection from the southwest, though realistic challenges include an unexpected cold front, persistent cloud cover, or nocturnal inversions suppressing peaks below 11°C—scenarios with low odds per current 0–12z model runs. Key updates expected in tomorrow's Roshydromet briefing and ECMWF refresh.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions