Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Kuala Lumpur high of 33°C at 35% implied probability, driven by Malaysian Meteorological Department (MetMalaysia) short-term forecasts projecting daytime maxima near 32-34°C amid isolated thunderstorms on April 11-13, consistent with recent observations averaging 31-33°C, including April 10's recorded peak of 33°C. April climatology supports this, with historical highs typically 33°C under equatorial conditions and minimal southwest monsoon influence yet, though high humidity amplifies perceived heat. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble agreement on stable temperatures absent major convective disruptions. Updated MetMalaysia bulletins and model runs expected by April 12 could refine these odds, as small shifts in cloud cover or sea breeze patterns influence peak readings at official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 13?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on April 13?
33°C 37%
34°C 23%
32°C 20%
31°C 14%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
20%
33°C
37%
34°C
25%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 37%
34°C 23%
32°C 20%
31°C 14%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
20%
33°C
37%
34°C
25%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Kuala Lumpur high of 33°C at 35% implied probability, driven by Malaysian Meteorological Department (MetMalaysia) short-term forecasts projecting daytime maxima near 32-34°C amid isolated thunderstorms on April 11-13, consistent with recent observations averaging 31-33°C, including April 10's recorded peak of 33°C. April climatology supports this, with historical highs typically 33°C under equatorial conditions and minimal southwest monsoon influence yet, though high humidity amplifies perceived heat. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble agreement on stable temperatures absent major convective disruptions. Updated MetMalaysia bulletins and model runs expected by April 12 could refine these odds, as small shifts in cloud cover or sea breeze patterns influence peak readings at official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions