Trader consensus has locked in 31°C at 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature on April 10, driven by official METAR observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN), which recorded a peak of 31°C around midday local time amid hazy conditions and northwest winds of 15-25 mph. These northerly winds, persisting through the afternoon, have suppressed further warming by enhancing mixing and evaporative cooling, aligning with National Center for Meteorology guidance and global model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs showing no intensification potential. Afternoon readings have since dropped to 25-26°C with declining solar angle. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day heat burst from sudden wind lull and haze clearance before sunset, though current trends make 32°C or higher highly unlikely as the market nears resolution based on verified station maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達4月10日最高溫度?
吉達4月10日最高溫度?
31°C 100.0%
32°C <1%
33°C或以上 <1%
$9,480 交易量
$9,480 交易量
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
31°C 100.0%
32°C <1%
33°C或以上 <1%
$9,480 交易量
$9,480 交易量
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus has locked in 31°C at 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature on April 10, driven by official METAR observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN), which recorded a peak of 31°C around midday local time amid hazy conditions and northwest winds of 15-25 mph. These northerly winds, persisting through the afternoon, have suppressed further warming by enhancing mixing and evaporative cooling, aligning with National Center for Meteorology guidance and global model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs showing no intensification potential. Afternoon readings have since dropped to 25-26°C with declining solar angle. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-day heat burst from sudden wind lull and haze clearance before sunset, though current trends make 32°C or higher highly unlikely as the market nears resolution based on verified station maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions