Latest NiMet guidance and international forecast models like those from AccuWeather and ECMWF converge on a maximum temperature of 35°C for Lagos on April 10, underpinning the market's 99.6% implied probability, as morning observations already show temperatures nearing 30°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low thunderstorm risk. This aligns with Lagos's tropical monsoon climate in late dry season, where high pressure systems and reduced cloud cover enable peaks near historical April upper bounds of 34-35°C at key stations like Murtala Muhammed International Airport. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms cooling the peak to 34°C or below, or prolonged sunshine pushing it to 36°C—though model ensembles show tight agreement within 1°C uncertainty. Final airport measurements will resolve the market later today.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月10日拉各斯的最高溫度?
4月10日拉各斯的最高溫度?
35°C 99.6%
36°C <1%
37°C或更高 <1%
$5,875 交易量
$5,875 交易量
35°C
100%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
35°C 99.6%
36°C <1%
37°C或更高 <1%
$5,875 交易量
$5,875 交易量
35°C
100%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest NiMet guidance and international forecast models like those from AccuWeather and ECMWF converge on a maximum temperature of 35°C for Lagos on April 10, underpinning the market's 99.6% implied probability, as morning observations already show temperatures nearing 30°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low thunderstorm risk. This aligns with Lagos's tropical monsoon climate in late dry season, where high pressure systems and reduced cloud cover enable peaks near historical April upper bounds of 34-35°C at key stations like Murtala Muhammed International Airport. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon thunderstorms cooling the peak to 34°C or below, or prolonged sunshine pushing it to 36°C—though model ensembles show tight agreement within 1°C uncertainty. Final airport measurements will resolve the market later today.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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