Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Milan on April 10, driven by official observations from the Milano Linate Airport weather station (LIML), which recorded a peak of 21°C per Wunderground data—the designated resolution source. Partly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds restricted solar heating, aligning with forecast model consensus from sources like ilMeteo.it predicting maxima around 21°C amid mild spring patterns. April climatology in Milan typically features highs of 17–19°C, making this outcome consistent with recent observational trends. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from the station or discrepancies with nearby Malpensa readings, though final meteorological reports solidify the positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月10日米蘭的最高溫度?
4月10日米蘭的最高溫度?
21°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$140,932 交易量
$140,932 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
21°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$140,932 交易量
$140,932 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Milan on April 10, driven by official observations from the Milano Linate Airport weather station (LIML), which recorded a peak of 21°C per Wunderground data—the designated resolution source. Partly cloudy conditions and light easterly winds restricted solar heating, aligning with forecast model consensus from sources like ilMeteo.it predicting maxima around 21°C amid mild spring patterns. April climatology in Milan typically features highs of 17–19°C, making this outcome consistent with recent observational trends. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data revisions from the station or discrepancies with nearby Malpensa readings, though final meteorological reports solidify the positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions