Updated forecasts from Italy's Aeronautica Militare (MeteoAM) indicate Milan's highest temperature on April 13 clustering around 16-18°C at Malpensa Airport, the market's resolution station, amid a frontal shift bringing cloud cover and possible rain that curbs solar insolation and diurnal heating. This marks a dip from recent highs of 20-22°C on April 11-12 under high-pressure ridging, with April 2026 running +2.1°C above normal overall. Ensemble models (ECMWF, GFS) show spread in peak timing and precipitation intensity, differentiating 15°C (cooler if heavy rain), 16°C (most frequent modal outcome), and 17°C+ (partial clearing scenarios). Traders price genuine uncertainty, with new runs due April 12 potentially tipping the balance ahead of resolution via Wunderground observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on April 13?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 13?
17°C or higher 29%
15°C 27%
16°C 26%
14°C 17%
$10,487 交易量
$10,487 交易量
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
17%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C or higher
29%
17°C or higher 29%
15°C 27%
16°C 26%
14°C 17%
$10,487 交易量
$10,487 交易量
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
17%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C or higher
29%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Updated forecasts from Italy's Aeronautica Militare (MeteoAM) indicate Milan's highest temperature on April 13 clustering around 16-18°C at Malpensa Airport, the market's resolution station, amid a frontal shift bringing cloud cover and possible rain that curbs solar insolation and diurnal heating. This marks a dip from recent highs of 20-22°C on April 11-12 under high-pressure ridging, with April 2026 running +2.1°C above normal overall. Ensemble models (ECMWF, GFS) show spread in peak timing and precipitation intensity, differentiating 15°C (cooler if heavy rain), 16°C (most frequent modal outcome), and 17°C+ (partial clearing scenarios). Traders price genuine uncertainty, with new runs due April 12 potentially tipping the balance ahead of resolution via Wunderground observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions