Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 20°C (39.5% implied probability), 19°C (30%), and 21°C (17.5%) for Milan's highest temperature on April 12, driven by diverging short-range forecasts amid a weakening high-pressure system over northern Italy. The official Aeronautica Militare bulletin projects a 19°C peak with partial cloud cover and 60% shower risk in the afternoon, capping insolation and boundary-layer heating, while Meteoblue and AccuWeather models indicate 21-22°C potential under fewer clouds and urban heat effects in Milan. April climatology averages 17-18°C highs, but above-normal warmth persists; real-time observations from Milano Linate or Malpensa stations, peaking midday, will clarify as showers could suppress the maximum by 1-2°C. New hourly updates from NOAA and ECMWF runs expected soon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on April 12?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 12?
20°C 40%
19°C 31%
21°C 17%
18°C 3.6%
$32,014 交易量
$32,014 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
31%
20°C
40%
21°C
17%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
20°C 40%
19°C 31%
21°C 17%
18°C 3.6%
$32,014 交易量
$32,014 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
31%
20°C
40%
21°C
17%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 20°C (39.5% implied probability), 19°C (30%), and 21°C (17.5%) for Milan's highest temperature on April 12, driven by diverging short-range forecasts amid a weakening high-pressure system over northern Italy. The official Aeronautica Militare bulletin projects a 19°C peak with partial cloud cover and 60% shower risk in the afternoon, capping insolation and boundary-layer heating, while Meteoblue and AccuWeather models indicate 21-22°C potential under fewer clouds and urban heat effects in Milan. April climatology averages 17-18°C highs, but above-normal warmth persists; real-time observations from Milano Linate or Malpensa stations, peaking midday, will clarify as showers could suppress the maximum by 1-2°C. New hourly updates from NOAA and ECMWF runs expected soon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions