Official observations from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and regional weather stations confirm Sao Paulo's highest temperature on April 10 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with mild autumn conditions, featuring southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and no heat advection, keeping readings below seasonal averages of 24-26°C. Multiple monitoring sites, including Congonhas Airport and IAG-USP, corroborated the peak around midday, with no anomalies like urban heat islands pushing higher. While final data validation is routine, a realistic challenge would involve rare sensor recalibration or discovery of an unmonitored hotter microclimate, though historical precedents show such revisions affect less than 1% of daily records. Traders await any official updates, expected within 24-48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 10?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 10?
21°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$93,542 交易量
$93,542 交易量
2026-04-10
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
21°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$93,542 交易量
$93,542 交易量
2026-04-10
21°C
$22,906 交易量
100%
22°C
$7,185 交易量
<1%
23°C
$8,764 交易量
<1%
24°C
$8,062 交易量
<1%
25°C
$4,936 交易量
<1%
26°C
$4,354 交易量
<1%
27°C
$5,077 交易量
<1%
28°C
$4,630 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$8,943 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and regional weather stations confirm Sao Paulo's highest temperature on April 10 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with mild autumn conditions, featuring southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and no heat advection, keeping readings below seasonal averages of 24-26°C. Multiple monitoring sites, including Congonhas Airport and IAG-USP, corroborated the peak around midday, with no anomalies like urban heat islands pushing higher. While final data validation is routine, a realistic challenge would involve rare sensor recalibration or discovery of an unmonitored hotter microclimate, though historical precedents show such revisions affect less than 1% of daily records. Traders await any official updates, expected within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$93,542結束日期
2026-04-10市場開放時間
Apr 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and regional weather stations confirm Sao Paulo's highest temperature on April 10 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with mild autumn conditions, featuring southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and no heat advection, keeping readings below seasonal averages of 24-26°C. Multiple monitoring sites, including Congonhas Airport and IAG-USP, corroborated the peak around midday, with no anomalies like urban heat islands pushing higher. While final data validation is routine, a realistic challenge would involve rare sensor recalibration or discovery of an unmonitored hotter microclimate, though historical precedents show such revisions affect less than 1% of daily records. Traders await any official updates, expected within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$93,542結束日期
2026-04-10市場開放時間
Apr 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ETOfficial observations from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and regional weather stations confirm Sao Paulo's highest temperature on April 10 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability on that outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with mild autumn conditions, featuring southerly winds, partial cloud cover, and no heat advection, keeping readings below seasonal averages of 24-26°C. Multiple monitoring sites, including Congonhas Airport and IAG-USP, corroborated the peak around midday, with no anomalies like urban heat islands pushing higher. While final data validation is routine, a realistic challenge would involve rare sensor recalibration or discovery of an unmonitored hotter microclimate, though historical precedents show such revisions affect less than 1% of daily records. Traders await any official updates, expected within 24-48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions