Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 27°C for São Paulo on April 13, with 28°C or higher leading at 41% amid recent observed highs of 27–28°C at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport earlier this week, per official Wunderground records. Latest guidance from Brazil's INMET and CPTEC models, alongside Climatempo forecasts, projects maxima near 26–28°C under persistent high-pressure subsidence and moderating sea breezes, slightly above the April climatological average of 26°C. Drier conditions transitioning from summer have reduced cloud cover, boosting warming potential, though model ensembles show divergence on exact peak due to potential afternoon showers or breeze intensification. Traders await tomorrow's updated GFS and ECMWF runs for resolution clarity before the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月13日聖保羅的最高溫度?
4月13日聖保羅的最高溫度?
28°C或以上 41%
26°C 25%
27°C 24%
25°C 8.3%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
25%
27°C
24%
28°C或以上
41%
28°C或以上 41%
26°C 25%
27°C 24%
25°C 8.3%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
25%
27°C
24%
28°C或以上
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a highest temperature around 27°C for São Paulo on April 13, with 28°C or higher leading at 41% amid recent observed highs of 27–28°C at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport earlier this week, per official Wunderground records. Latest guidance from Brazil's INMET and CPTEC models, alongside Climatempo forecasts, projects maxima near 26–28°C under persistent high-pressure subsidence and moderating sea breezes, slightly above the April climatological average of 26°C. Drier conditions transitioning from summer have reduced cloud cover, boosting warming potential, though model ensembles show divergence on exact peak due to potential afternoon showers or breeze intensification. Traders await tomorrow's updated GFS and ECMWF runs for resolution clarity before the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions