Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest highest temperature around 32°C for Jakarta on April 12, driven by BMKG climatological averages of 31–33°C during April's transition from wet to emerging dry season conditions, with AccuWeather ensemble projections showing daily highs of 29–33°C amid ENSO-neutral patterns favored through June (80% NOAA probability). Tight clustering among 32°C (36%), 34°C (29%), and 33°C (25%) reflects uncertainty from variable afternoon cloudiness and light rain potential, which could cap peaks at lower outcomes, versus urban heat island effects and reduced convective suppression favoring hotter readings. Daily BMKG updates, due April 11, may refine steering winds and humidity influences on boundary layer temperatures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 12?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 12?
32°C 37%
33°C 25%
34°C 22%
31°C 12%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
40%
33°C
25%
34°C
22%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
33°C 25%
34°C 22%
31°C 12%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
40%
33°C
25%
34°C
22%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 8, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest highest temperature around 32°C for Jakarta on April 12, driven by BMKG climatological averages of 31–33°C during April's transition from wet to emerging dry season conditions, with AccuWeather ensemble projections showing daily highs of 29–33°C amid ENSO-neutral patterns favored through June (80% NOAA probability). Tight clustering among 32°C (36%), 34°C (29%), and 33°C (25%) reflects uncertainty from variable afternoon cloudiness and light rain potential, which could cap peaks at lower outcomes, versus urban heat island effects and reduced convective suppression favoring hotter readings. Daily BMKG updates, due April 11, may refine steering winds and humidity influences on boundary layer temperatures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions