Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 22°C (36% implied probability) for Wuhan on April 13, closely followed by 21°C (26%) and 23°C (20.5%), reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international models like ECMWF, which project daytime highs in the 21-23°C range amid partly cloudy skies and light showers. Over the past 48 hours, updated guidance shows northerly winds and increased cloud cover—driven by a weak frontal system—capping temperatures below seasonal norms of 22-24°C, following a 22°C high on April 11. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to model spread on cloud evolution and timing of any precipitation; monitor CMA's midday update on April 12 for potential shifts ahead of resolution based on Wuhan Tianhe International Airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 13?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 13?
22°C 38%
21°C 25%
23°C 20%
24°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
25%
22°C
38%
23°C
20%
24°C
11%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 38%
21°C 25%
23°C 20%
24°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
25%
22°C
38%
23°C
20%
24°C
11%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 9, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 22°C (36% implied probability) for Wuhan on April 13, closely followed by 21°C (26%) and 23°C (20.5%), reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international models like ECMWF, which project daytime highs in the 21-23°C range amid partly cloudy skies and light showers. Over the past 48 hours, updated guidance shows northerly winds and increased cloud cover—driven by a weak frontal system—capping temperatures below seasonal norms of 22-24°C, following a 22°C high on April 11. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to model spread on cloud evolution and timing of any precipitation; monitor CMA's midday update on April 12 for potential shifts ahead of resolution based on Wuhan Tianhe International Airport observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions