Latest forecasts from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project a high of 25°C at Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution station—under cloudy conditions with light northeast winds on April 12. This drives the tight trader consensus, with market-implied odds clustered at 25°C (26%), 26°C (30.5%), and 27°C (26.5%), reflecting ensemble spreads from global models like ECMWF and GFS averaging 25–26°C. Differentiating factors include variability in afternoon cloud cover timing, boundary layer mixing, and urban heat island amplification, which could push maxima 1–2°C higher under partial clearing. April climatology favors mild spring highs around 20°C, but recent warming and low precipitation risk heighten upside potential; hourly observations will clarify resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on April 12?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 12?
26°C 32%
27°C 29%
25°C 25%
24°C 7%
$27,888 交易量
$27,888 交易量
2026-04-12
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
25%
26°C
32%
27°C
29%
28°C
6%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 32%
27°C 29%
25°C 25%
24°C 7%
$27,888 交易量
$27,888 交易量
2026-04-12
21°C or below
$4,491 交易量
1%
22°C
$3,523 交易量
1%
23°C
$3,536 交易量
3%
24°C
$2,762 交易量
7%
25°C
$1,950 交易量
25%
26°C
$1,600 交易量
32%
27°C
$1,635 交易量
29%
28°C
$2,339 交易量
6%
29°C
$2,382 交易量
1%
30°C
$1,535 交易量
1%
31°C or higher
$2,159 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project a high of 25°C at Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution station—under cloudy conditions with light northeast winds on April 12. This drives the tight trader consensus, with market-implied odds clustered at 25°C (26%), 26°C (30.5%), and 27°C (26.5%), reflecting ensemble spreads from global models like ECMWF and GFS averaging 25–26°C. Differentiating factors include variability in afternoon cloud cover timing, boundary layer mixing, and urban heat island amplification, which could push maxima 1–2°C higher under partial clearing. April climatology favors mild spring highs around 20°C, but recent warming and low precipitation risk heighten upside potential; hourly observations will clarify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 8, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$27,888結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project a high of 25°C at Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution station—under cloudy conditions with light northeast winds on April 12. This drives the tight trader consensus, with market-implied odds clustered at 25°C (26%), 26°C (30.5%), and 27°C (26.5%), reflecting ensemble spreads from global models like ECMWF and GFS averaging 25–26°C. Differentiating factors include variability in afternoon cloud cover timing, boundary layer mixing, and urban heat island amplification, which could push maxima 1–2°C higher under partial clearing. April climatology favors mild spring highs around 20°C, but recent warming and low precipitation risk heighten upside potential; hourly observations will clarify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$27,888結束日期
2026-04-12市場開放時間
Apr 8, 2026, 12:18 AM ETLatest forecasts from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project a high of 25°C at Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution station—under cloudy conditions with light northeast winds on April 12. This drives the tight trader consensus, with market-implied odds clustered at 25°C (26%), 26°C (30.5%), and 27°C (26.5%), reflecting ensemble spreads from global models like ECMWF and GFS averaging 25–26°C. Differentiating factors include variability in afternoon cloud cover timing, boundary layer mixing, and urban heat island amplification, which could push maxima 1–2°C higher under partial clearing. April climatology favors mild spring highs around 20°C, but recent warming and low precipitation risk heighten upside potential; hourly observations will clarify resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions